Late Friday Night Charts…$XJY

This week the Japanese Yen backtested neckline #2 of a possible triple H&S bottom at the 94 area. Below is a weekly line chart which shows the price action closed right on the neckline. To say this weeks backtest was critical is an understatement. How the yen goes so does gold for the most part.

yen day line

Below is the exact same chart as the one above except it’s a bar chart that shows the subtle differences. The reason this backtest is so important, is because if neckline #2 holds support then the low for the third right shoulder will have formed. Reverse symmetry suggests we could see a ping pong move between neckline #2 and neckline #3 as shown by the black arrows, before we see a resolution to this 2 1/2 year pattern. The yen has made a series of higher highs and higher lows since the head was put in place a year ago.

yen weekly bar

This next long term weekly chart shows a pretty symmetrical H&S bottom as shown by the neckline symmetry line which shows the low for the left and right shoulders. The backtest this week was a little sloppy but so far the neckline is holding support.

yen weekly long

This next chart I overlaid gold on top of the daily line chart for the yen which shows why this currency is so important for gold. Sometimes one can be a bit stronger or weaker than the other but they tend to move together so you can see why the 94 area on the charts above is so important. If the backtest to the neckline holds support then there is a good chance that gold will also be finding support. It looks like next week is shaping up to be another very important week in the precious metals complex. Have a great weekend. All the best…Rambus

yen over gold

BAA Update…

Today BAA is backtesting the breakout point above the double bottom trendline at the .39 area. The weekly backtest. The monthly chart puts the breakout in perspective as it is just now taking place. This area still represents a low…

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GLD Update…

Just a quick update on the GLD chart we’ve been following which shows GLD backtesting the top rail of its bullish expanding rising wedge for the second time. Keep in mind this consolidation pattern has been forming for nearly five…

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ANF.V Update…

Tuesday of this week ANF.V broke out of H&S consolidation pattern where I took an initial position and bought 3000 shares. The daily chart shows the breakout and backtest holding.

ANF.V BUY

The monthly chart really puts everything in perspective for this stock. The H&S consolidation pattern on the daily chart above is just part of a much bigger inverse H&S bottom on the monthly chart below. You can see the beautiful H&S top which ended the bull market. Big patterns lead to big moves. The H&S bottom is 2 1/2 years in the making with the price action testing the neckline presently. That big H&S bottom is actually bigger than the H&S top and has a price objective up to the old high around the 6.40 area. I’m going to put an order in to buy another 3000 shares at 1.83 which is just above the neckline, on the breakout.

ANV MONTHLY BUY

HUI Update…

Below is the reverse symmetry chart with the support and resistance lines we’ve been following since the new bull market began. So far the price action has interacted perfectly with each S&R line. The last rally phase took the price action above the highest S&R zone and now is backtesting it from above between 245 and 260. The 50 day moving average has been rising strongly and now comes in at the 234.06 area.

HUI S&R ZONE

The weekly line chart shows the reverse symmetry and S&R zones. As you can see the HUI made it all the way up to the top of the S&R zone at 275 where we should see it act as initial resistance which it has. The bottom of the brown shaded S&R zone comes in around the 245 area. The bottom of the S&R zone is taken from the highs made back in 2013 and 2014. Once this counter move down is complete and the next move higher begins, the area above the top of the brown shaded S&R zone is called the thin zone in which the price action can move easily threw until it reaches overhead resistance at the old neckline around the 380 area.

hui wweekly

 

ANF.V Trade Setup…

I’ve been waiting for this stock to consolidate its first impulse move up to take a position. This stock was highly recommended by Sir Spock and Sir Plunger back in early March of this year. Today it looks like ANF.V…

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PM Complex Combo Charts…

It looks like the dog days of summer have finally arrived. Just a quick update on the weekly combo charts which shows nothing much is happening. There is an old market adage which says, don’t short a dull market. The…

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