Rambus Leveraged Trades .

Rambus does not use a Portfolio Tracker. He Probably Should.

Here are his present Open Positions in the Leveraged Trade Portfolio.

These trades average $5,000 to $10,000 each. These are  3x leveraged ETFs based on the various market sectors covered by Rambus.

These trades were put on in the second half of this year. Many others were booked earlier in the year…………

Per Anum % Gains are for academic purposes only…this would be the % gain after 1 year if the rate of gain continued…which of course is very unlikely.

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CURE …(HEALTHCARE)………..Year End Price…..% Gain/Loss……….% per Annum

1…45.67 ON 9-7-17………………..46.60…………………2%……………………..6%

2…45.66 ON 9-20-17……………….46.60……………….2%………………………7%

DRN….(REAL ESTATE)

1…23.70 ON 11-8-17……………….22.84……………….- 3%……………………-18%

2…24.35 ON 12-18-17……………..22.84………………-2%……………………..-24%

EDC (EMERGING MARKETS)

1…97.44 ON 7-8-17………………..125.74………………29%…………………….63%

2…110.84 ON 9-11-17…………….125.74………………13%…………………….44%

ERX ( ENERGY)

1…26.08 ON 9-13-17………………34.93…………………34%……………………117%

2…30.34 ON 11-3-17………………34.93…………………15%……………………90%

FAS (FINANCIALS)

1…52.57 ON 9-18-17………………68.38………………….30%……………………103%

2…53.30 ON 9-27-17………………68.38…………………..28%……………………112%

INDL (INDIA)

1…81.75 ON 7-10-17………………102.10…………………25%……………………120%

LABU (BIOTEC)

1…50.75 ON 6-8-17………………..77.85……………………53%……………………91%

2…79.19 ON 9-7-17…………………77.85…………………..-1%…………………….-3%

3…81.07 ON 9-20-17………………..77.85………………….-4%……………………..-10%

MIDU (MID CAPS)

1…43.24 ON 11-16-17……………….46.43…………………..7%…………………….60%

RETL (RETAIL)

1…27.65 ON 9-15-17………………..36.04…………………..30%………………….103%

2…26.76 ON 9-20-17………………..36.04……………………40%………………….145%

RUSL ( RUSSIA)

1…50.40 ON 12-15-17……………..54.48……………………..8%…………………..192%

SOXL (SEMI CONDUCTORS)

1…97.04 0N 8-30-17…………………137.90………………….42%…………………..126%

2…98.57 ON 9-7-17………………….137.90………………….40%……………………95%

SPXL ( S & P 500)

1…37.22 ON 9-12-17………………..44.33……………………19%…………………….65%

2…38.60 ON 10-2-17………………..44.33…………………….15%……………………60%

TNA ( SMALL CAPS)

1…56.31 ON 9-12-17………………..70.27……………………..25%…………………..85%

2…63.31 ON 9-27-17…………………70.27…………………….11%…………………..44%

TQQQ (LARGE CAP TECH)

1…115.18 ON 9-12-17……………….138.72………………….24%…………………..82%

2…118.14 ON 10-5-17………………..138.72…………………17%…………………..70%

UWT ( OIL)

1…23.01 ON 6-1-17…………………..34.02…………………….48%…………………82%

2…27.54 ON 8-22-17…………………34.02……………………24%…………………..68%

UYM ( BASIC MATERIALS)

1…61.13 ON 7-19-17…………………74.05…………………….21%………………….45%

YINN ( CHINA)

1…23.01 ON 6-1-17………………….34.02…………………….48%…………………..82%

2…27.54 0N 8-12-17…………………34.02……………………24%…………………..62%

HAPPY NEW YEAR  RAMBUS CHARTOLOGY  MEMBERS

I HOPE MOST OF YOU TOOK MANY OF THESE TRADES….AS WELL AS THE TRADES WHICH HAVE BEEN CLOSED EARLIER IN THE YEAR AND THE TRADES IN THE LESS VOLITILE PORTFOLIOS.

ALL THESE OPEN POSITIONS ARE LISTED ON THE SIDEBAR INCLUDING TENTATIVE SELL STOPS. THEY HAVE NOT BEEN UPDATED TO YEAR END PRICES YET.

ALL THE BEST IN YOUR CONTINUING QUEST TO PROFIT IN THESE VARIOUS MARKETS IN 2018.

HAPPY NEW YEARS MR AND MRS RAMBUS

FULLGOLDCROWN

 

 

 

The Dow Gold Ratio

Excerpt from Rambus Weekend Report. “Gold Ratio Charts Update”

Editor’s Note : This is an important point that deserves its own separate post.

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This next set of ratio charts I consider to be the most important ratio charts if you are deciding whether to be an investor in the INDU or in Gold.

When the price is rising The INDU ( Dow Jones Industrial Average ) (a proxy for General Stock Markets) is rising against Gold , and when it is falling Gold is rising against the Dow.

This first ratio chart for the INDU:Gold is a daily look which shows the ratio breaking out above the top rail of a bullish rising flag with a completed backtest. It doesn’t look that impressive on a daily chart, but when we look at the longer term ratio chart it becomes very important.

 

Below is a long term 10 year weekly chart which shows a massive H&S bottom on the ratio chart on top and a possible massive H&S top on gold on the bottom chart. Note  how the blue bullish rising flag formed just below the neckline on the ratio chart which has given the ratio chart the energy it needed to finally breakout. I’ve been showing this ratio combo chart for a long time now so the breakout above the neckline is falling into place.

Below is a 38 year daily line chart for the INDU:gold ratio chart which puts the very big picture in perspective. This ratio chart tells you when you need to be trading in the INDU and out of Gold and visa versa. As you can see you wanted to be trading in the INDU going into the 2000 bubble top and out of gold. In 2000 that all changed. From that point forward you wanted to be trading in the PM sector staying away from the INDU.

There are many gold investors that swear that the ratio has to go as low a 1 to 1 before the gold bull market is over. As you can see the ratio got as low as 5.5 in 2011 which is close enough IMHO especially since the price action that followed that double bottom low. There is a massive H&S bottom with the breakout underway. We have a very clear line in the sand for the staunch gold bulls which is the neckline. As long as the price action trades above that neckline the INDU is going to outperform gold.

As the breakout is just now taking place this ratio could rise for many years to come regardless of all the reasons it can’t. I will have no problem reversing my stance if I see the neckline is broken to the downside, but until it is I have to give the ratio chart the benefit of a doubt. All the best…Rambus

The Bullish Chartology for Gold …Public Version

Tonight I would like to update you on some of the longer term gold charts we’ve been following which are still hanging in there from the bullish perspective. Keep in mind these are long term charts so changes come slowly.

Lets start by looking at the long term weekly chart for gold which shows its 2011 bear market downtrend channel we’ve been following for a long time now. Back in July of this year the price action broke out above the top rail and just recently the top rail was backtested from above and we are getting a bounce exactly where we needed to see a bounce.

Normally at the end of a long protracted bull or bear market you will find some type of reversal pattern buildout. As you can see the 2011 top built out the 6 point rectangle just below the all time highs. Currently gold has built out the blue triangle with the 5th reversal point falling just shy of reaching the bottom rail. I have seen in the past that sometimes when the 5th reversal point fails to reach the bottom rail it can be a sign of strength, meaning the bulls are not waiting around, red circle. If the bulls are truly in charge the next thing we’ll want to see is a new high above the previous high that was made on the initial breakout.

This next chart is probably the most important chart for gold as it shows the possible H&S bottom building out. We’ve discussed in the past that big patterns lead to big moves. This potential H&S bottom is 4 years in the making and is big enough to lead the next leg of gold’s bull market much higher if the neckline is broken to the upside. Currently the neckline comes in around the 1350 area.

There are several other possibilities we been follow as well for gold. This next chart is a monthly look which shows the ping pong move taking place between the top rail of the blue expanding falling wedge and the bottom rail of the black expanding falling wedge. Again, we are seeing gold bouncing right where we need to see it bounce.

The blue expanding falling wedge without the top rail of the downtrend channel or the much bigger black expanding falling wedge.

Almost 2 years ago gold broke out above the top rail of the blue 7 point falling wedge with the top rail holding support on two backtests. It would be nice to see a white candlestick form at the end of this month and if the breakout is going to really take hold we should see a string of white candlesticks form all in a row which tells you the impulse is very strong. In a strong move down you will see a string of black candlesticks all in a row.

Gold’s major bull market uptrend channel with the 2011 bear market downtrend channel with the possible 2015 H&S bottom.

Gold’s long term monthly chart showing the potential H&S bottom.

 

Gold’s 40 year chart.