GDX Update

GDX is the first PM stock index to reach it’s first important resistance zone at the bottom blue rail of the 5 point bearish falling wedge. A pause to refresh right here should be expected. With the US dollar breaking down from it’s top formation the odds are very good that the precious metals stock indexes should take out both of the overhead resistance rail on the 5 point bearish falling wedge. A close above the top blue rail will be a big deal when it happens. We are also closing the gap that was made on the open this morning.

DAG Trade Setup

DAG is a 2 X agricultural  etf that does a pretty good job tracking the grains. Several weeks ago I showed you this chart of DAG when I wrote about the risk off trade coming back. The red triangle has morphed alittle bit since then but with today’s action it looks like a clean breakout with a nice gap. I’m viewing the red triangle as a halfway pattern. At the top of the chart are two price objectives using two different measuring techniques. Notice the move off the bottom blue arrow to the top of the red triangle. This type of pattern should produce a move equal to the move off the bottom blue arrow at the bottom of the chart to the blue arrow at the top of the red triangle. The near vertical price action is called a flag pole with the red triangle forming at the halfway point. The MACD, at the bottom of the chart is getting ready to crossover and the RSI at the top of the chart has hit 50, red arrow. Alot of times when a stock is in a rally mode, and then has a correction, the RSI will only correct back down to the 50 area that will signal the correction is completing. Instruction on chart below.